Blog November 21, 2025

Is the 2025 Warehouse Demand Surge Really About Tariffs?

Industrial Real Estate is On the Rise

By: Jeremy Rotenberg

Updated: September 21, 2025 | 2 Minute Read

Recent reports indicate a significant surge in demand for industrial real estate heading into 2025. Net absorption rates have hit their highest levels since early 2023. The prevailing narrative in the media suggests this spike is driven by improved investor confidence—specifically, that companies now have a firmer grasp on the impact of tariffs and are ready to spend again.

Our Take: Not a Boom, But a Return to Normalcy

While we welcome the activity in the market, we recommend taking the “tariff confidence” narrative with a grain of salt. Attributing this surge entirely to clarity on tariff policy feels like a stretch, especially given that recent legal decisions suggest the future of those tariffs is far from set in stone.

From our perspective, what we are seeing isn’t necessarily a policy-driven surge, but a return to the mean. We are coming out of a period of historically low warehouse construction starts—a natural correction following the massive overbuild during the COVID era. The market bottomed out, and now it’s bouncing back.

It’s less about a sudden love affair with tariff policy and more about the natural, cyclical stabilization of construction and capacity. For supply chain leaders, the takeaway is simple: capacity is opening up, but don’t let macro-economic headlines distract you from the fundamental supply and demand mechanics at play.

Listen Now!


The consultants at LIDD work with organizations across the supply chain to build more efficient, sustainable, and resilient operations. If you’re looking to turn your business into a powerhouse of operational excellence, reach out today.

 

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